PC
PERRIGO Co plc (PRGO)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered resilient profitability amid softer OTC consumption: net sales $1.04B (-4.1% YoY), adjusted EPS $0.80 (-1.2% YoY), and adjusted operating margin 16.6% (-20 bps YoY) . Store brand gained dollar, unit and volume share in 5 of 7 OTC categories and key brands gained share .
- Guidance lowered: FY25 reported net sales growth to -2.5% to -3.0%, organic growth to -2.0% to -2.5%, and adjusted EPS to $2.70–$2.80; gross margin ~39% and operating margin ~15% maintained; net leverage now ~3.8x (vs ~3.5x prior) .
- Strategic portfolio actions intensified: Perrigo initiated a strategic review of the Infant Formula business (expected ~$360M 2025 net sales, <10% of company), continues Oral Care review, and remains on track to close Dermacosmetics sale in Q1’26 .
- Against Wall Street estimates, Q3 saw a small EPS beat and revenue/EBITDA misses; softness driven by category consumption and slower infant formula share rebuild, partially offset by cost discipline and supply chain savings . Estimates data from S&P Global are marked with an asterisk.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Share gains despite soft category demand: “We gained dollar, unit and volume share in five of seven store brand categories and grew share in our key brands” — CEO Patrick Lockwood‑Taylor . CSCA OTC net sales +0.6% YoY within segment driven by share gains and new wins .
- Margin resilience and sequential improvement: Adjusted operating margin 16.6% (-20 bps YoY) with CSCA adjusted gross margin up 550 bps and operating margin up 760 bps sequentially vs Q2 2025 .
- Cost programs tracking ahead: Supply Chain Reinvention and Project Energize delivered benefits; Energize has achieved ~$163M gross annual savings to date (above midpoint of $140–$170M target by 2026) .
What Went Wrong
- Top-line pressure from consumption softness and portfolio reviews: Total net sales -4.1% YoY, with organic -4.4% (OTC -1.6% and -2.8% from Infant Formula/Oral Care under strategic review) .
- Infant formula underperformed internal expectations: Slower store brand share rebuild and lower contract volumes vs strong prior-year restocking; SKU velocities below plan due to shelf position and space constraints (management Q&A) .
- Tariff headwinds and category mix: Gross margin -110 bps YoY (mix shift to lower-margin store brand and divestiture impacts); updated tariff cost estimate now $40–$50M on a full-year basis (mitigation via pricing/insourcing in-flight) .
Financial Results
Consolidated performance vs prior quarters
Q3 2025 actual vs Street consensus
- Result: EPS beat (0.80 vs 0.77); revenue miss ($1.04B vs $1.10B); EBITDA miss. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment overview (Q3 2025)
CSCA category breakdown (Q3 YoY)
CSCI category breakdown (Q3 YoY)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We gained dollar, unit and volume share in five of seven store brand categories and grew share in our key brands, a clear sign that consumers are choosing Perrigo products at the shelf.” — Patrick Lockwood‑Taylor, CEO .
- “We’re adjusting our full-year 2025 outlook to reflect infant formula industry dynamics and soft OTC consumption trends... to support expected mid-to-high single-digit adjusted EPS growth for the year.” — CEO .
- On Infant Formula review: “This proactive review is about discipline... reduce leverage, sustain our dividend policy, continue to deliver on customer partnerships and sharpen focus on our high-potential OTC portfolio.” — CEO .
- CFO on margins: “Gross margin for the quarter declined 110 bps due to... lower net sales and divestitures and exited products; mix shift to relatively lower‑margin store brands.” — Eduardo Bezerra .
Q&A Highlights
- Infant formula performance: Share near ~16%; rebuild to ~18–20% over 12 months possible; SKU velocity below plan due to shelf positioning and space (retailer) constraints; competitive pressure from imports; contract volumes lighter vs strong prior year .
- CSCI trajectory: Women’s Health supply issues resolved; expecting sequential net sales pickup in Q4 (+5–6%) vs Q3 on seasonality and supply normalization .
- OTC consumption drivers: Multiple tactical factors (features, displays, pricing); hypothesis of pantry drawdown; cough/cold season down vs LY; management views changes as non-structural (expects normalization) .
- Tariffs: ~$40–$50M full-year gross COGS headwind (Q4 impact begins); mitigation already in flight (pricing, insourcing, supplier actions); no expected lag in pricing catch-up .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 vs consensus: EPS $0.80 vs $0.77* (beat), revenue $1,043M vs $1,097M* (miss), EBITDA $179M* vs $192M* (miss). Drivers: softer OTC consumption (US and EU), slower infant formula share and contract volumes; offsets from Energize and supply chain savings . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Near-term estimates likely to move down on revenue and EBITDA given reduced FY25 outlook, tariff headwinds, and infant formula review; EPS supported by cost discipline and margin maintenance (~15% operating margin target) .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Portfolio pivot unfolding: Strategic review of Infant Formula (sub-10% of sales) and continued Oral Care review sharpen OTC focus and could be catalysts; Dermacosmetics sale proceeds earmarked for deleveraging (Q1’26 close on track) .
- Guidance reset reduces revenue growth expectations but maintains operating margin discipline (~15%); monitor execution of pricing/insourcing to offset tariff costs in Q4/Q1 .
- Share gains are meaningful and broad-based (5 of 7 OTC categories), supporting a trade-down and value thesis as macro conditions remain soft .
- Infant formula trajectory is key swing factor: shelf positioning/space and competitive imports weigh on near term; strategic review lowers risk of prolonged drag on growth/cash .
- Cost programs are delivering: Supply Chain Reinvention and Project Energize ahead of plan, underpinning margins and EPS resilience despite volume pressure .
- Watch EU cough/cold normalization and Women’s Health supply resolution for CSCI rebound in Q4; management expects sequential improvement .
- Balance sheet: YTD operating cash flow $63M; cash $432M; total debt $3.64B; net leverage guided ~3.8x — deleveraging relies on portfolio actions and disciplined capex .
All quantitative information from company documents includes citations. S&P Global consensus and actual values marked with * and accompanied by this disclaimer: Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Additional Data Points
- Adjusted EPS impacts: +$0.03 FX tailwind and -$0.02 divestitures/exited products in Q3 .
- Cash and dividends: YTD operating cash flow $63M; YTD capex $67M; $119M returned via dividends; cash $432M; total debt $3.64B .